Sorry about the quotes but they needed to be interspersed instead of the whole thing.
" It was obvious that the Internet would collapse under the weight of this additional (and frivolous) bandwidth consumption. But what happened? Nothing."
IIRC some areas did have some problems but the net was continually expanding...and still is. It's the high bandwidth users like gamers and streaming video users that usually notice things not being quite right. Most of us would never notice an e-mail that ended up bounding between connections a few hundred times due to data packet collisions. With 5 computers backing up across my network I don't notice a few, but when you hit that magic number the collisions escalate and things really slow. It's much like a program running really fast until something starts file swapping which was a way of live back in the late 70's or early 80's. I used to do segmented sorts with dual 8" drives. About 20-30 pages of data would take around 8 hours to sort of course that was with a 1 MHz 6502, 48K of Dynamic ram (16K X 1 chips that were $20 something each) and those dual 8", single sided drives. Man, what speed<:-)
>"Many of the players with a vested interest in making the applications work are the same ones who are making money on the growth of the Internet infrastructure. Look at Cisco.
>There's a term in the communications industry, "dark fiber" (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_fiber), and it refers to unused fiber optic cable. As I understand it, there's a sizable >over-capacity for telecommunications because when they put the fiber in the ground, they put in much more than they needed."
There are literally hundreds of thousands of miles of "Dark Fiber" out there, much of which was put in at the peak of the "Dot Com craze". There are a number of runs in this area with one running by a friends home about 2 miles from me. Supposedly those particular runs are for future trunk lines, or backbones.
>"So, yes, I agree that streaming video will place additional burdens on the available Internet bandwidth, and yes, net neutrality is probably a better idea than the alternative (though I >always expect the Law of Unintended Consequences to kick in whenever we think we have things figure out), but I'm not expecting the digital sky to start falling any time soon.
We called that "side effects" in programming<:-)). No, I don't expect to see the digital sky falling either, at least as long as the government keeps their fingers out of the pot. I do think it's going to be a race between bandwidth and use though.