HDTV Almanac - Glasses-Free 3D HDTV Coming This Year!

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alfredpoor
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HDTV Almanac - Glasses-Free 3D HDTV Coming This Year!

Post by alfredpoor »

Okay, your wishes have been heard and the display gods are going to give you what you asked for. Just remember that when you get it, I told you so.
One of the big splashes at CES 2012 was the unveiling of Toshiba’s monster 55″ 3D HDTV, and to the breathless adoration of the technology press, [...]

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Rodolfo
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10 years, no 5 years, wait, this year.

Post by Rodolfo »

No one would have purchased $10K HDTVs in 1998/99 even when there was very limited HD content, recorded media was just DVD quality, and first generation upscalers/line doublers (including the best Pioneer Elites) were very primitive, but we did.

Many early adopters purchased eagerly since day one, allowing our dollars to fund R&D efforts so the next models will be better. I do not regret spending that much. Did you buy in 1998/99? I am doing it again with Sony’s 4K projector, only then I earn the right to properly talk about.

That is the deal when technologies break any ground, they are not perfect since day one, and they are very expensive, but if no one cares to buy the first sets the progression toward better and cheaper generations is cut short and regular buyers will never see an autostereoscopic 3DTV that will satisfy everyone in quality and price.

As you know Toshiba (and Sony) showed similar autostereoscopic 3DTV sets at 2011’s CES and they both performed with limitations, but another (smaller) company, 3D Fusion, showed a better product, also based on a Philips license, their auto 3DTV virtually showed no hard breaks between viewing zones, the resolution was decent and the panel was not even 4K, this year they are working in something even better, and other companies joined the same objective at CES:

http://www.hdtvmagazine.com/articles/20 ... of-ces.php

To properly cover the subject it is required to actually see them all, and to talk to their engineers. Did you see 3D Fusion at CES 2011, and at this CES? Doing so may change your mind about image quality, viewing zones, resolution, and relative pricing.

The power of early adoption on any technology/product is beyond Ramirez’s $2500 rule, the same applies to the possibly $10K OLED panels from Samsung and LG, without the early adopters of any technology many new products may never be sold in Best Buy at reasonable prices.

Best Regards,

Rodolfo La Maestra
alfredpoor
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Re: HDTV Almanac - Glasses-Free 3D HDTV Coming This Year!

Post by alfredpoor »

Rodolfo, I did not say that Toshiba won't sell any of these AS3D sets; in fact, I said the exact opposite. What I also said -- and I stand by this statement -- is that you can't make a successful businesses selling $10K displays of any sort into the consumer market. Yes, there are early adopters and aficionados like yourself who will buy products like this, but it doesn't come close to covering the development costs in most cases. Unless Toshiba is able to wring out at least 90% of the cost of this product over the next three or four years, it will not succeed.

It has already been well-established that you are not the typical consumer for home entertainment systems. I am under no illusions that my remarks about the market at large have any relation to your views of the products.

Alfred
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Post by Rodolfo »

There is a difference between a) making a personal decision as an early adopter, and b) persuading others not to be interested in a product because is expensive upon introduction or because you are not interested.

Early adopters allow others to buy similar products at reasonable prices later on; they both have a place in the market; a product success or attractiveness should never be measured in that it may be very expensive upon introduction; only the facts should be stated to let people make their choice as an early adopter or as a follower whenever they are ready.

Quite frankly, I personally do not like the autostereoscopic 3D image quality of Sony, or Toshiba, or even their competitors today, and I rather use 3D glasses if I want 3D, but I do the effort to describe which is better for those that feel the urge to have it now or to wait, without conveying the idea of “do not buy it, you would not be interested because my analysis says so”.

Best Regards,

Rodolfo La Maestra
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